All odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook.
What you need to know for Game 4
Sticking with Smart: In this Game 3, we encouraged you to take the over on Marcus Smart‘s prop markets and we are doing the same in this huge game for the Celtics. Smart led the team in shots (22) and non-scoring opportunities (assists-plus-turnovers, 13) in Game 2 and despite a badly rolled ankle and foul trouble in Game 3, he hit over his points prop with 16 and led the team in non-scoring opportunities (11). The Celtics are comfortable with the ball in Smart’s hands and the Heat also seem to be okay with him determining their fate. So why not take advantage of that in a critical game at home?
Big on Bam: Miami netted a huge game from Bam Adebayo in Game 3, who played a postseason-high 41 minutes after Jimmy Butler left Game 3 with a knee injury. With Butler questionable for Game 4, Adebayo has reasonable pricing in DFS ($ 6,500 on DK) and achievable scoring and defensive props. He is expected to deliver around 40 fantasy points and has a high ceiling Monday night.
– Jim McCormick & Kyle Soppe
Breaking down Game 4
Miami Heat at Boston Celtics
8:30 pm ET on ABC, TD Garden, Boston
Line: Celtics (-6.5)
Money line: Celtics (-280), Heat (+230)
Total: 207.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 210.8 points
BPI Win%: Celtics (67.4%)
Ruled Out: None
Note: BPI numbers factor in players who are ruled out but assumes questionable players will play
Notable: Over tickets have cashed in on just five of Miami’s 14 playoff games, including all three games of the Eastern Conference finals thus far.
Best bet: Jayson Tatum over 27.5 points. Tatum tied his lowest-scoring game of the postseason with 10 points in Game 3. Prior to that game, he had averaged 31.5 PPG over his past six playoff games. The Celtics will need Tatum to step up if they want to win the series and I expect him to come out strong tonight. – Eric Moody
Best bet: Jimmy Butler over 4.5 assists. Butler missed the second half of Game 3 with knee inflammation and is listed as questionable for Game 4. He has averaged 5.2 APG during the playoffs and could play the role of facilitator tonight for the Heat. – Moody
Best bet: Bam Adebayo over 27.5 points + assists + rebounds. Adebayo had a huge performance in Game 3 and showed that the Heat can count on him to open up the floor for the offense. Adebayo led Miami in points, rebounds, assists, steals and blocks in a playoff game for the first time in his career. The Heat should lean heavily on him in Game 4. – Moody